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Edge AI and Causal Attribution for Cold-Chain Integrity in Agri-Food Export Corridors

Open Logistics & Supply Chain

Edge AI and Causal Attribution for Cold-Chain Integrity in Agri-Food Export Corridors

Edge AI and Causal Attribution for Cold-Chain Integrity in Agri-Food Export Corridors

Description

Detect cold-chain violations in real time using onboard sensors and identify the most likely causal mechanism behind thermal excursions along export corridors.

Details

Context and Problem Statement

Cold-chain failures cause major losses in perishable exports, but conventional loggers usually flag only threshold violations without identifying the root cause.

Research Question

Can a thermal anomaly be reliably attributed to an identifiable causal mechanism from multi-sensor edge data under energy and intermittent-connectivity constraints?

Proposed Approach

Instrument shipments with temperature, humidity, door-state, position, and refrigeration-power sensors. Detect anomalies using compact edge models, then perform causal attribution using a mechanism graph validated through controlled experiments. Estimate downstream shelf-life impact.

Expected Contribution

A shift from threshold alarms to experimentally validated causal attribution.

Expected Prototype

An autonomous tracking device and dashboard reporting likely cause, confidence, and estimated shelf-life impact for each incident.

Datasets

Public logistics sensor datasets, real export-route measurements, and cold-room experiments.

Challenges

Sensor autonomy, intermittent connectivity, experimental validation cost, and commercially sensitive traceability data.

Research Question

How can a cold-chain violation be attributed to an identifiable causal mechanism rather than merely flagged as a threshold exceedance?

Innovation

The project introduces experimentally validated causal attribution into a domain still dominated by threshold alarms.

Expected Deliverable

An instrumented tracking prototype, an attribution model validated by controlled experiments, and an evaluation on real logistics routes.

Technologies & Tools

Edge AI and TinyML IoT and Low-Power Protocols (LoRaWAN, NB-IoT) Time-Series Anomaly Detection Causal Attribution Product Shelf-Life Modeling

Required Skills

  • Embedded Systems and IoT
  • Signal Processing and Anomaly Detection
  • Applied Causal Inference
  • Experimental Design

Datasets

  • Public logistics sensor time series
  • Measurements from real export routes
  • Controlled cold-room experiments

Morocco & Africa Relevance

Moroccan exports of fruits, vegetables, and seafood depend on long corridors toward Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa, where avoidable cold-chain losses can directly reduce sector revenue.